Difference between revisions of "2021 Iranian General Election"

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| {{Lite Labor}} | '''Labor''' <br /> ''Largest Party''
 
| {{Lite Labor}} | '''Labor''' <br /> ''Largest Party''
 
| style="text-align:center; background:{{Labor Party/meta/color}};  color:white" | '''Labor <br /> 2 seat majority'''
 
| style="text-align:center; background:{{Labor Party/meta/color}};  color:white" | '''Labor <br /> 2 seat majority'''
 +
|}
 +
===Projections from April 12 - April 24===
 +
{| class="wikitable"
 +
|-
 +
! colspan="2" | Parties
 +
! style="vertical-align:top;" | Iran National
 +
! style="vertical-align:top;" | Tehran Calculus
 +
! style="vertical-align:top;" | Mappers Iran
 +
! style="vertical-align:top;" | Elections Etc.
 +
! style="vertical-align:top;" | Imperial Projections
 +
|-
 +
| bgcolor="{{Labor Party/meta/color}}" |
 +
| National Labor
 +
| {{Labor Party Text Block}} | {{center|131}}
 +
| {{Labor Party Text Block}} | {{center|136}}
 +
| {{Labor Party Text Block}}| {{center|127}}
 +
| {{Lite Labor}} | {{center|126}}
 +
| {{Labor Party Text Block}} | {{center|131}}
 +
|-
 +
| bgcolor="#0000ff" |
 +
| Liberal Democratic Party
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 95
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 95
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 104
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 102
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 98
 +
|-
 +
| bgcolor="#2DCF09" |
 +
| Greens
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 2
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 2
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 1
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 3
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 2
 +
|-
 +
| bgcolor="#104404" |
 +
| Shooters
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 2
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 1
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 0
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 1
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 0
 +
|-
 +
| bgcolor="#D3D825" |
 +
| Farmers
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 1
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 2
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 1
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 1
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 0
 +
|-
 +
| bgcolor="#BB0606" |
 +
| Communist Bloc
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 0
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 0
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 0
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 1
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 0
 +
|-
 +
| bgcolor="#B8B8B8" |
 +
| Independents
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 21
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 16
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 19
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 18
 +
| style="text-align:center;"| 20
 +
|-
 +
! colspan="2"| Overall result
 +
| style="text-align:center; background:{{Labor Party/meta/color}};  color:white" | '''Labor <br /> 5 seat majority'''
 +
| style="text-align:center; background:{{Labor Party/meta/color}};  color:white" | '''Labor <br /> 10 seat majority'''
 +
| style="text-align:center; background:{{Labor Party/meta/color}};  color:white" | '''Labor <br /> 1 seat majority'''
 +
| {{Lite Labor}} | '''Labor''' <br /> ''Largest Party''
 +
| style="text-align:center; background:{{Labor Party/meta/color}};  color:white" | '''Labor <br /> 5 seat majority'''
 
|}
 
|}
  
 
==Newspaper Endorsements==
 
==Newspaper Endorsements==
 +
{| class="wikitable floatright"
 +
|-
 +
! style="width:150px;"| Newspaper
 +
! colspan=2| Endorsement
 +
|-
 +
|''The Advertiser''
 +
|bgcolor="#0000ff" |
 +
|Liberal Democrats
 +
|-
 +
|''The Age''
 +
|bgcolor="{{Labor Party/meta/color}}" |
 +
|National Labor
 +
|-
 +
|''The Iranian''
 +
|bgcolor="{{Labor Party/meta/color}}" |
 +
|National Labor
 +
|-
 +
|''Empire Times''
 +
|
 +
|No Endorsement
 +
|-
 +
|''Information''
 +
|bgcolor="#0000ff" |
 +
|Liberal Democrats
 +
|-
 +
|''Damascus Herald''
 +
|bgcolor="#ff0000" |
 +
|National Labor
 +
 +
|-
 +
|''National Times''
 +
|bgcolor="#ff0000" |
 +
|National Labor
 +
|-
 +
|''Civic Tribune''
 +
|bgcolor="#ff0000" |
 +
|National Labor
 +
|-
 +
|''The Aware''
 +
|
 +
|No Endorsement
 +
|-
 +
|''Islamist Daily''
 +
|bgcolor="#0000ff"|
 +
|Liberal Democrats
 +
|}
 
==International Reactions==
 
==International Reactions==

Revision as of 06:09, 24 January 2020

2021 Iranian General Election
Iran
2018 ←
 8 May, 2021
 → Next
All 499 Seats of the Iranian Majlis
250 Seats needed for a Majority seats needed for a majority
  Avasarala.jpg Oppoleader.jpg
Leader Chrisjen Avasarala Emrys Taghdian
Party National Labour Liberal Democrats
Leader since 16 August 2018 17 March 2019
Leader's seat Tehran North Qom
Last election 311 184
Seats needed Steady 0 Increase 66
TPP
TPP Swing

The Iranian General Election of 2021 was called after the Senate rejected the bill creating the National Infrastructural Safety Advisory Board for a second time. Thus, the trigger for a Double Dissolution Election, dismissing the House and Senate at once was fulfilled. Election day shall be May 8, 2021. All 499 seats of the House of Representatives and all 252 seats of the Imperial Senate, were up for election. The incumbent third term Labor Government led by Chrisjen Avasarala entered the election with 311 of the 499 seats in the House of Representatives and 123 Senators. The opposition, led by Emrys Taghdian is seeking to form government at the conclusion of this election.

Iran enforces compulsory voting and uses full-preference instant-runoff voting in single-member seats for the House of Representatives and optional preferential single transferable voting in the proportionally represented Senate. The election was administered by the Imperial National Electoral Commission.

Results

Analysis

Senate Projections

Projections from April 1 - April 12

Parties Iran National Tehran Calculus Mappers Iran Elections Etc. Imperial Projections
National Labor
130
133
125
124
128
Liberal Democratic Party 96 98 102 103 99
Greens 3 1 2 2 3
Shooters 1 1 1 1 0
Farmers 2 2 1 2 2
Communist Bloc 1 1 1 1 1
Independents 19 16 20 19 19
Overall result Labor
4 seat majority 		Labor
6 seat majority 		Labor
Largest Party 		Labor
Largest Party 		Labor
2 seat majority

Projections from April 12 - April 24

Parties Iran National Tehran Calculus Mappers Iran Elections Etc. Imperial Projections
National Labor
131
136
127
126
131
Liberal Democratic Party 95 95 104 102 98
Greens 2 2 1 3 2
Shooters 2 1 0 1 0
Farmers 1 2 1 1 0
Communist Bloc 0 0 0 1 0
Independents 21 16 19 18 20
Overall result Labor
5 seat majority 		Labor
10 seat majority 		Labor
1 seat majority 		Labor
Largest Party 		Labor
5 seat majority

Newspaper Endorsements

Newspaper Endorsement
The Advertiser Liberal Democrats
The Age National Labor
The Iranian National Labor
Empire Times No Endorsement
Information Liberal Democrats
Damascus Herald National Labor
National Times National Labor
Civic Tribune National Labor
The Aware No Endorsement
Islamist Daily Liberal Democrats

International Reactions

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