Difference between revisions of "Opinion polling for the next Neo Kingston general election"
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Latest revision as of 07:30, 17 April 2020
In the run up to the next Neo Kingston general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the Neo Kingston Polling Council (NKPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from after the previous general election, held on May 19, 2016, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held on July 18, 2020.
2019
| Final date of polling | PNP | DM | LD | KSP | PKI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 25 | 36% | 34% | 17% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 2% |
| October 25 | 36% | 33% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 3% |
| October 16 | 35% | 34% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 1% |
| October 14 | 36% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| October 7 | 37% | 31% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| October 5 | 37% | 32% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
| September 28 | 34% | 34% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 4% | Tie |
| September 20 | 36% | 32% | 16% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| September 19 | 38% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 8% |
| September 10 | 35% | 33% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| September 3 | 38% | 32% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 6% |
| September 1 | 36% | 32% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| August 22 | 39% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 9% |
| August 13 | 36% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% |
| August 10 | 37% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| August 8 | 34% | 33% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| August 1 | 35% | 31% | 17% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| July 27 | 35% | 33% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| July 19 | 2019 local government election held with losses for the Democratic Movement, gains for the Liberal Democrats and mixed results for the People's National Party. | ||||||
| July 11 | 37% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| July 11 | 35% | 31% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| July 8 | 36% | 32% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| July 3 | 35% | 36% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 1% |
| July 1 | 35% | 32% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| June 25 | 37% | 33% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| June 16 | 37% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| June 14 | 36% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
| June 7 | 40% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 9% |
| June 3 | 37% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| May 27 | 37% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| May 24 | 39% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| May 18 | 36% | 34% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 2% |
| May 9 | 39% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 8% |
| May 8 | 37% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| May 1 | 41% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 10% |
| April 27 | 38% | 34% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| April 22 | 37% | 33% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| April 15 | 37% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| April 9 | 37% | 34% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| April 2 | 40% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
| April 2 | 38% | 34% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| March 27 | 37% | 37% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 4% | Tie |
| March 25 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 7% |
| March 21 | 38% | 34% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| March 16 | 37% | 34% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| March 10 | 40% | 30% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 10% |
| March 5 | 39% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| February 28 | 35% | 34% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 1% |
| February 20 | 38% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| February 15 | 36% | 34% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% |
| February 8 | 39% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 7% |
| February 2 | 37% | 34% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| February 1 | 35% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| January 23 | 41% | 33% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| January 17 | 38% | 34% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| January 12 | 37% | 37% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 4% | Tie |
| January 8 | 36% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 4% | Tie |
| January 7 | 35% | 36% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
2018
| Final date of polling | PNP | DM | LD | KSP | PKI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 29 | 38% | 35% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| December 23 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| December 20 | 39% | 35% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| December 11 | 37% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 4% | Tie |
| December 10 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| December 6 | 36% | 35% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| November 29 | 37% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 5% | Tie |
| November 22 | 39% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| November 15 | 36% | 41% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| November 9 | 37% | 38% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| November 4 | 35% | 39% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| October 27 | 38% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% |
| October 16 | 35% | 40% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| October 16 | 36% | 38% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| October 9 | 34% | 39% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| October 6-8 | Kevin Bradshaw elected leader of the People's National Party and becomes Prime Minister of Neo Kingston. | ||||||
| October 4 | 34% | 40% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% |
| September 29 | 35% | 40% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| September 26 | 33% | 41% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 8% |
| September 17 | 34% | 39% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 5% |
| September 10 | 32% | 42% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 10% |
| September 5 | 33% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 7% |
| September 1 | 32% | 41% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 12% |
| August 25 | 29% | 42% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 13% |
| August 18 | 31% | 44% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 12% |
| August 13 | 32% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 8% |
| August 10 | 29% | 44% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 15% |
| August 2 | 30% | 42% | 6% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 12% |
| July 27 | 30% | 41% | 5% | 5% | 15% | 4% | 11% |
| July 21 | Prime Minister Zachary Monroe announces his intention to resign from the Premiership in October. | ||||||
| July 20 | 2018 local government election held, resulting in big losses for the People's National Party and major gains for the Democratic Movement. | ||||||
| July 18 | 30% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 5% | 10% |
| July 18 | 28% | 42% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 4% | 14% |
| July 15 | 32% | 39% | 5% | 5% | 15% | 4% | 7% |
| July 8 | 31% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 10% |
| July 3 | 30% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 12% |
| July 1 | 28% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 15% |
| June 26 | 29% | 42% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 13% |
| June 17 | 30% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 14% | 3% | 13% |
| June 15 | 32% | 40% | 5% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 8% |
| June 9 | 33% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 7% |
| June 2 | 35% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 3% |
| May 27 | 32% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 8% |
| May 24 | 34% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 3% |
| May 14 | 32% | 41% | 6% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 9% |
| May 9 | 34% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 8% |
| May 4 | 31% | 41% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 10% |
| April 26 | 33% | 40% | 4% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 7% |
| April 26 | 30% | 42% | 4% | 4% | 17% | 3% | 12% |
| April 21 | 34% | 37% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 3% |
| April 16 | 32% | 41% | 5% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 9% |
| April 10 | 34% | 38% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 4% |
| March 31 | 33% | 37% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 4% | 4% |
| March 30 | 35% | 38% | 6% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 3% |
| March 19 | 33% | 40% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 7% |
| March 13 | 36% | 38% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 2% |
| March 6 | 35% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 5% |
| March 4 | Prime Minister Zachary Monroe announces intention for Mia Lee immigration and UNN single currency referendum to be held on July 20 | ||||||
| February 26 | 36% | 35% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 1% |
| February 15 | 36% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 1% |
| February 8 | 35% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 5% |
| February 2 | 37% | 37% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 4% | Tie |
| January 28 | 36% | 36% | 7% | 4% | 12% | 5% | Tie |
| January 19 | 34% | 39% | 6% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 5% |
| January 16 | 2018 Neo Kingston Budget presented to the House of Representatives by Finance Minister James Huertos | ||||||
| January 11 | 33% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 2% |
| January 8 | 36% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 2% |
| January 8 | 35% | 39% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 4% |
2017
| Final date of polling | PNP | DM | LD | KSP | PKI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 21 | 35% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 2% |
| December 10 | 33% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 5% |
| December 4 | 30% | 39% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 9% |
| November 27 | 32% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 4% |
| November 22 | 35% | 34% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 1% |
| November 19 | 33% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 3% |
| November 11 | 34% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 2% |
| November 8 | 31% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 8% |
| October 26 | 32% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 15% | 4% | 5% |
| October 11 | 30% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 6% | 8% |
| October 3 | 32% | 33% | 11% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 1% |
| October 1 | 30% | 35% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 6% | 5% |
| September 24 | 32% | 34% | 7% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 2% |
| September 19 | 31% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 14% | 6% | 5% |
| September 12 | 29% | 37% | 9% | 6% | 14% | 5% | 8% |
| September 4 | 30% | 39% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 9% |
| August 27 | 32% | 34% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| August 24 | 34% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 14% | 5% | Tie |
| August 14 | 32% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 3% |
| August 14 | 30% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 15% | 6% | 6% |
| August 5 | 33% | 34% | 8% | 6% | 14% | 5% | 1% |
| July 28 | 33% | 35% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 2% |
| July 24 | 32% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 5% |
| July 21 | 2017 local government election held, resulting in a victory for the People's National Party with reduced seats, and gains for the Democratic Movement. | ||||||
| July 17 | 33% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 2% |
| July 11 | 36% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 11% | 4% | Tie |
| July 8 | 36% | 31% | 11% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 5% |
| July 5 | 34% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| June 30 | 31% | 35% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 4% |
| June 26 | 34% | 34% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 5% | Tie |
| June 16 | 37% | 32% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 5% |
| June 15 | 32% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 1% |
| June 10 | 34% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 3% |
| June 6 | 36% | 28% | 15% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% |
| May 31 | 35% | 28% | 13% | 5% | 14% | 5% | 7% |
| May 26 | 33% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 2% |
| May 18 | 35% | 29% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 6% |
| May 13 | 34% | 30% | 13% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 4% |
| May 6 | 32% | 31% | 14% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 1% |
| April 26 | 31% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 1% |
| April 17 | 34% | 30% | 16% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 4% |
| April 11 | 33% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| April 4 | 36% | 29% | 15% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 7% |
| March 26 | 32% | 32% | 14% | 4% | 12% | 6% | Tie |
| March 21 | By-elections held in two constituencies; no significant swing. | ||||||
| March 19 | 35% | 30% | 15% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 5% |
| March 9 | 32% | 29% | 16% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 3% |
| March 1 | 35% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 3% |
| February 24 | 33% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 1% |
| February 16 | 35% | 30% | 16% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| February 9 | 36% | 32% | 15% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| February 8 | 37% | 31% | 14% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 6% |
| January 31 | 36% | 30% | 17% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
| January 25 | 35% | 31% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| January 18 | 37% | 29% | 19% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| January 12 | 2017 Neo Kingston Budget presented to the House of Representatives by Finance Minister James Huertos | ||||||
| January 12 | 33% | 31% | 18% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| January 5 | 36% | 31% | 15% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 5% |
2016
| Final date of polling | PNP | DM | LD | KSP | PKI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 20 | 35% | 32% | 17% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% |
| December 14 | 32% | 33% | 15% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 1% |
| December 7 | 34% | 34% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 6% | Tie |
| December 2 | 31% | 33% | 16% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 2% |
| November 26 | 32% | 30% | 20% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 2% |
| November 24 | 34% | 30% | 18% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 4% |
| November 11 | 30% | 29% | 20% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 1% |
| October 27 | 33% | 31% | 17% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 1% |
| October 19 | 32% | 32% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 6% | Tie |
| October 15 | 30% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| October 10 | 34% | 33% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 1% |
| September 25 | 33% | 30% | 17% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 3% |
| September 18 | 34% | 30% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| September 8 | 31% | 33% | 21% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 1% |
| September 1 | 32% | 31% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 1% |
| August 26 | 34% | 31% | 18% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
| August 17 | 36% | 30% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| August 12 | 34% | 33% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 1% |
| August 5 | 34% | 30% | 19% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% |
| July 29 | 33% | 32% | 20% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 1% |
| July 20 | 2016 local government election held, showing strong results for the Democratic Movement. Parliamentary by-elections held in a few constituencies with results showing little to no notable swing. | ||||||
| July 18 | 35% | 30% | 19% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| July 12 | 34% | 29% | 21% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
| July 7 | 35% | 29% | 19% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| July 3 | 34% | 30% | 19% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% |
| June 26 | 35% | 28% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| June 18 | 34% | 27% | 21% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% |
| June 15 | 35% | 27% | 21% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 8% |
| June 8 | 38% | 25% | 20% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 13% |
| May 19 2016 general election |
36.9% | 28.3% | 20.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.6% |
