Opinion polling for Kyrloth General Elections
From NSWiki
On a regular basis, various organisations (some private, some state-owned) carry out opinion polling in order to determine voting intentions. For convenience, all polls are displayed on this wiki page. Due to the Anti-Propaganda Act of 2019, state-run media corporations are generally considered unreliable and inaccurate, and their opinion polls are therefore marked with an (S) symbol.
Under Article 14 of the Kyrlot constitution, the next general election is scheduled to be held no later than 16 February 2023, although with the approval of a majority of parliament, one can be held earlier.
Contents
Latest Opinion Polls
Under Article 14 of the Kyrlot constitution, the next general election is scheduled to be held no later than 16 February 2023, although with the approval of a majority of parliament, one can be held earlier.
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Soldiers' Guild | The Opposition | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soc | CoS | RCB | ||||||
| 25 December | Radio Black Flag | 892 | 24% | 47% | 10% | 19% | 23% | 52% |
| 18 December | Radio Black Flag | 718 | 23% | 44% | 11% | 22% | 21% | 54% |
| 11 December | Radio Black Flag | 999 | 25% | 48% | 8% | 19% | 23% | 50% |
| 4 December | Radio Black Flag | 999 | 23% | 49% | 7% | 21% | 26% | 54% |
| 27 November | Radio Black Flag | 985 | 24% | 50% | 6% | 20% | 26% | 52% |
| 20 November | Radio Black Flag | 896 | 25% | 50% | 8% | 17% | 25% | 50% |
| 14 November | Kyrloth News Central (S) | 1,961 | 73% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 60% | 46% |
| 13 November | Radio Black Flag | 1,092 | 21% | 52% | 9% | 18% | 31% | 58% |
| 7 November | The Lion of Taren Incident | |||||||
| 6 November | Radio Black Flag | 1,055 | 40% | 42% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 20% |
| 30 October | Radio Black Flag | 997 | 41% | 42% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 18% |
| 24 October | Radio Black Flag | 1,185 | 44% | 43% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 12% |
| 23 October | Kyrloth News Central (S) | 1,185 | 71% | 13% | 6% | 10% | 58% | 42% |
| 20 October | End of Kyrlot-Izrian War, Izria annexed. | |||||||
| 17 October | Radio Black Flag | 1,342 | 38% | 48% | 10% | 4% | 10% | 24% |
| 10 October | Radio Black Flag | 1,884 | 31% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 18% | 38% |
| 3 October | Radio Black Flag | 1,144 | 29% | 51% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 42% |
Polls leading up to the 2019 Kyrloth Speaker Election
These polls referring to the 2019 Kyrloth Speaker Election, in which there were only two candidates: Heron Tazment, for the Soldiers' Guild, and Sereia Astur, fielded by the coalition of the three other parties, known as The Opposition.
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Soldiers' Guild | The Opposition | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 October | 2019 Speaker Election results (disputed) | – | 72.1% | 27.9% | 44.2% |
| 30 September | Kyrloth News Central (S) | 1,256 | 71% | 29% | 42% |
| 29 September | Radio Black Flag | 2,115 | 34% | 66% | 32% |
| 22 September | Radio Black Flag | 1,961 | 38% | 62% | 24% |
| 16 September | Kyrloth News Central (S) | 1,279 | 76% | 24% | 52% |
| 15 September | Radio Black Flag | 2,131 | 41% | 59% | 18% |
| 8 September | Radio Black Flag | 1,534 | 49% | 51% | 2% |
| 23 August | Radio Black Flag | 896 | 52% | 48% | 4% |
General Election Polls
In this table, the Region column is divided by the region that was polled. "Injirlos" refers to the geographical area of far-west Borea, in this case the area owned by the Republic of Kyrloth prior to the Kyrlot-Kireitan War. "Kireita" refers to area owned by the People's Republic of Kireitarenu'a prior to its annexation. "Overall" refers to the entirety of Kyrloth, post-annexation.
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Region | Sample size | SG | Soc | CoS | RCB | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 October | 2019 Speaker Election results (disputed) | – | 72.1% | 27.9% | 44.2% | |||
| 29 September | Radio Black Flag | Overall | 2,115 | 36% | 47% | 11% | 6% | 11% |
| 8 September | Radio Black Flag | Overall | 1,534 | 33% | 49% | 12% | 6% | 16% |
| 1 September | Kyrloth News Central (S) | Overall | 1,341 | 56% | 14% | 7% | 23% | 33% |
| 28 August | Radio Black Flag | Overall | 1,241 | 32% | 51% | 10% | 7% | 19% |
| 18 August | Radio Black Flag | Overall | 799 | 31% | 54% | 9% | 6% | 23% |
| 12 August | Sinter Tass signs arrest warrant for Socialist party leader Gull Hughny | |||||||
| 10 August | Kestarun | Overall | 1,431 | 31% | 43% | 15% | 11% | 12% |
| Injirlos | 904 | 39% | 38% | 15% | 8% | |||
| Kireita | 527 | 12% | 55% | 15% | 18% | |||
| 1 August – 20 October | Kyrlot-Izrian War | |||||||
| 1 August | Kestarun | Injirlos | 1,076 | 42% | 34% | 17% | 7% | 8% |
| 1 July | Kestarun | Injirlos | 967 | 48% | 30% | 16% | 6% | 18% |
| 29 June | Kireitan Provisional Election results (disputed) |
Kireita | – | 46.9% | 34.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% |
| 1 June | Kestarun | Injirlos | 1,056 | 56% | 25% | 14% | 5% | 31% |
| 10 May – 25 May | Kyrlot-Kireitan War | |||||||
| 1 May | Kestarun | Injirlos (pre-war Kyrloth) |
1,004 | 42% | 29% | 19% | 10% | 13% |
| 1 April | Kestarun | 996 | 44% | 28% | 21% | 7% | 16% | |
| 1 March | Kestarun | 1,021 | 53% | 24% | 20% | 9% | 29% | |
Polls leading up to the 2019 Kyrloth General Election
2019
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | SG | Soc | CoS | RCB | HR | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 February | 2019 General Election results | – | 50.8% | 23.7% | 17.8% | 7.7% | – | 27.1% |
| 11 February | Kyrloth News Central | 1,534 | 44% | 22% | 24% | 10% | – | 20% |
| 4 February | Kyrloth News Central | 1,525 | 41% | 19% | 22% | 18% | – | 19% |
| 1 February | Kestarun | 879 | 39% | 24% | 23% | 14% | – | 15% |
| 27 January | Kyrloth News Central | 1,576 | 43% | 16% | 24% | 17% | 0% | 19% |
| 26 January | Kasra Mall bombing, Police Expanded Protection bill signed into law in emergency session of parliament | |||||||
| 21 January | Kyrloth News Central | 1,312 | 24% | 10% | 36% | 28% | 2% | 8% |
| 18 January | Sinter Tass announces a general election is to be held on 16 February 2019 | |||||||
| 1 January | Kestarun | 1,014 | 22% | 9% | 38% | 29% | 2% | 11% |
2018
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | SG | Soc | CoS | RCB | HR | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 December | Kestarun | 961 | 24% | 10% | 36% | 28% | 2% | 8% |
| 1 November | Kestarun | 1,025 | 20% | 9% | 37% | 31% | 3% | 6% |
| 1 October | Kestarun | 998 | 21% | 8% | 39% | 29% | 3% | 10% |
| 1 September | Kestarun | 1,019 | 23% | 9% | 42% | 25% | 1% | 17% |
| 1 August | Kestarun | 987 | 25% | 11% | 40% | 21% | 2% | 15% |
| 1 July | Kestarun | 1,002 | 27% | 4% | 50% | 18% | 1% | 23% |
| 1 June | Assassination of Hefanira Tara, Sinter Tass becomes Prime Minister | |||||||
| 1 June | Kestarun | 946 | 18% | 12% | 33% | 34% | 3% | 1% |
| 1 May | Kestarun | 981 | 17% | 13% | 36% | 32% | 2% | 4% |
| 1 April | Kestarun | 990 | 15% | 10% | 35% | 38% | 2% | 3% |
Polls leading up to the 2018 Kyrloth General Election
2018
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | RCB | CoS | SG | Soc | SoAZ | HR | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 March | 2018 General Election results | – | 33.6% | 33.3% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| 26 February | Kyrloth News Central | 1,644 | 35% | 32% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| 19 February | Kyrloth News Central | 1,458 | 33% | 34% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% |
| 12 February | Kyrloth News Central | 1,511 | 35% | 34% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| 5 February | Kyrloth News Central | 1,564 | 32% | 36% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 1 February | Kestarun | 1,644 | 41% | 28% | 13% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 13% |
| 31 January | Taren Elti'a steps down as Council leader following the Mauve Folder scandal | ||||||||
| 29 January | Kyrloth News Central | 1,455 | 47% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 3% | 4% | 30% |
| 26 January | Ryan Mariner calls an election and steps down as Prime Minister and Board leader following the Mauve Folder scandal. | ||||||||
| 1 January | Kestarun | 988 | 24% | 26% | 17% | 27% | 3% | 3% | 1% |
2017
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | RCB | CoS | SG | Soc | SoAZ | HR | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 December | Kestarun | 1,044 | 23% | 28% | 19% | 22% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
| 1 November | Kestarun | 998 | 26% | 27% | 18% | 21% | 4% | 4% | 1% |
| 1 October | Kestarun | 936 | 28% | 26% | 19% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| 1 September | Kestarun | 1,028 | 29% | 30% | 17% | 19% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| 1 August | Kestarun | 1,042 | 30% | 32% | 14% | 20% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| 1 July | Kestarun | 984 | 31% | 30% | 15% | 19% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 1 June | Kestarun | 941 | 34% | 27% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| 1 May | Kestarun | 1,124 | 32% | 32% | 14% | 16% | 4% | 2% | Tie |
| 1 April | Kestarun | 992 | 33% | 32% | 13% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
| 1 March | Kestarun | 1,001 | 34% | 34% | 14% | 15% | 5% | 0% | Tie |
| 1 February | Kestarun | 1,015 | 32% | 34% | 14% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| 1 January | Kestarun | 968 | 31% | 32% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
2016
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | RCB | CoS | SG | Soc | SoAZ | HR | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 December | Kestarun | 971 | 33% | 33% | 13% | 15% | 6% | 0% | Tie |
| 1 November | Kestarun | 1,022 | 32% | 35% | 14% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 3% |
| 1 October | Kestarun | 1,014 | 33% | 34% | 15% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 1 September | Kestarun | 1,055 | 33% | 35% | 14% | 14% | 4% | 0% | 2% |
| 1 August | Kestarun | 949 | 34% | 35% | 14% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| 1 July | Kestarun | 1,019 | 35% | 34% | 11% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 1% |
| 1 June | Kestarun | 980 | 36% | 33% | 12% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| 1 May | Kestarun | 1,144 | 36% | 34% | 12% | 12% | 6% | 0% | 2% |
| 1 April | Kestarun | 1,002 | 37% | 32% | 14% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 1 March | Kestarun | 1,023 | 37% | 33% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 0% | 4% |
| 1 February | Kestarun | 930 | 38% | 32% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 1 January | Kestarun | 945 | 38% | 33% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 5% |
2015
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | RCB | CoS | SG | Soc | SoAZ | HR | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 December | Kestarun | 1,005 | 39% | 30% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| 1 November | Kestarun | 1,019 | 39% | 31% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 8% |
| 1 October | Kestarun | 1,014 | 41% | 29% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 12% |
Polls leading up to the 2015 Kyrloth General Election
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | RCB | CoS | SG | Soc | SoAZ | HR | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 August | 2015 General Election results | – | 38.4% | 30.7% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 0.6% | 7.7% |
| 23 August | Kyrloth News Central | 1,548 | 37% | 31% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
